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The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing

von Michael J. Mauboussin

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"Much of what we experience in life results from a combination of skill and luck." -- From the Introduction The trick, of course, is figuring out just how many of our successes (and failures) can be attributed to each--and how we can learn to tell the difference ahead of time. In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives--yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative book, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands to offer the structure needed to analyze the relative importance of skill and luck. He offers concrete suggestions for making these insights work to your advantage. Once we understand the extent to which skill and luck contribute to our achievements, we can learn to deal with them in making decisions. The Success Equation helps us move toward this goal by: * Establishing a foundation so we better understand skill and luck, and can pinpoint where each is most relevant * Helping us develop the analytical tools necessary to understand skill and luck * Offering concrete suggestions about how to take these findings and put them to work Showcasing Mauboussin's trademark wit, insight, and analytical genius, The Success Equation is a must-read for anyone seeking to make better decisions--in business and in life.… (mehr)
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A good insightful book. I'd prefer a little more maths, but overall I enjoyed the book. It seemed a bit repetitive towards the end, and if I'm brutal, I could suggest that you skip to the last chapter which gives a very nice, bullet-point summary of the whole book. Key take-aways for me are the extensive discussion around mean reversion and the idea of using correlation between successive outcomes to wait your prediction between the specific case and the base case. I found that very insightful. ( )
  jvgravy | Dec 12, 2014 |
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"Much of what we experience in life results from a combination of skill and luck." -- From the Introduction The trick, of course, is figuring out just how many of our successes (and failures) can be attributed to each--and how we can learn to tell the difference ahead of time. In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives--yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative book, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands to offer the structure needed to analyze the relative importance of skill and luck. He offers concrete suggestions for making these insights work to your advantage. Once we understand the extent to which skill and luck contribute to our achievements, we can learn to deal with them in making decisions. The Success Equation helps us move toward this goal by: * Establishing a foundation so we better understand skill and luck, and can pinpoint where each is most relevant * Helping us develop the analytical tools necessary to understand skill and luck * Offering concrete suggestions about how to take these findings and put them to work Showcasing Mauboussin's trademark wit, insight, and analytical genius, The Success Equation is a must-read for anyone seeking to make better decisions--in business and in life.

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