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Make or break : how the next three years will shape South Africa's next three decades

von Richard Calland

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In his new book, Richard Calland raises a compelling argument: South Africa is at a critical juncture, and events over the next three years are going to shape the country's next three decades. Jacob Zuma's term as president is due to end in 2019 and there are calls for him to resign; the ANC is declining in popularity and moral stature; opposition parties are gaining ground; the economy and the currency are in trouble; the Treasury has been racked by power struggles; the Public Protector's term ends later in 2016; the rule of law and judicial independence are under pressure. Looking at these and other issues, Calland explores possible futures for South Africa, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure.… (mehr)
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The next three years will determine whether South Africa succeeds or fails in the long term.

• Jacob Zuma’s term as president is due to end in 2019, though he could go earlier. Who will succeed him and what will be the impact on policy?
• The ANC’s dominance has been significantly dented after opposition parties gained ground in the 2016 local government elections, but will the minority and coalition governments in key cities hold or fall apart?
• The economy is in trouble, and the National Treasury has been buffeted by a struggle for power at the centre of government. Will Pravin Gordhan and his band of reformers survive and succeed?
• The public protector’s term ends in October 2016. Will her successor hold the line?
• The judiciary is under pressure, and several positions have opened up on the Constitutional Court bench. Will the rule of law be maintained?

Looking at these and other issues, Richard Calland presents scenarios for the country’s future, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the early 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure. It really is make or break time.
  tony_sturges | Jul 19, 2017 |
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In his new book, Richard Calland raises a compelling argument: South Africa is at a critical juncture, and events over the next three years are going to shape the country's next three decades. Jacob Zuma's term as president is due to end in 2019 and there are calls for him to resign; the ANC is declining in popularity and moral stature; opposition parties are gaining ground; the economy and the currency are in trouble; the Treasury has been racked by power struggles; the Public Protector's term ends later in 2016; the rule of law and judicial independence are under pressure. Looking at these and other issues, Calland explores possible futures for South Africa, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure.

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