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The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy (1997)

von William Strauss, Neil Howe

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9671221,481 (3.88)6
History. Politics. Sociology. Nonfiction. HTML:NATIONAL BESTSELLER ? First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis??the Fourth Turning??when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history.

William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world??and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America??s past will predict what comes next.
 
Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four twenty-year eras??or ??turnings???that comprise history??s seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Illustrating this cycle through a brilliant analysis of the post??World War II period, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively,
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NF
  vorefamily | Feb 22, 2024 |
theory of historical cycles based on changing constellations of generational types
  ritaer | Jul 7, 2021 |
Fascinating especially in light of sept 11, 2001 ( )
  habeus | Jul 24, 2020 |
Jeepers! Scared the bejeezus out of me. This is a horror movie masquerading as a book. Written in 1997(!), coins the term millennials, predicts Trump and forecasts a third world war (but hopefully just a financial one) in the 2020s time frame. But don't worry, you have no place to hide and furthermore, you're guaranteed a front row seat to the show. Enjoy. ( )
  anandrajan | Apr 10, 2018 |
The mystery of why things happened and when they happened in American History always seemed blank in various studies and classes…Just numbers and names and little compelling detail as to the causes of events.

This book applies sociology in a new way. First read in 1998, much of its premise seemed implausible to others, but to me it made a lot of sense…The jury was still out on the future, but the events of American History explained in the context of the saeculum and its generational counterparts made for a lot of good conversations. Cultures and generational cohorts that were altered in their very beings by the course of history’s major events…The Heroes, The Silents, The Profits and the Lost…Just like Rome, repeating time and again…

Then came 911 and the new stages of a 20 year turning. How will the crisis turn out this time? The book has some thoughts…A must read book then and now…
  TheDancingGoats | Jan 8, 2015 |
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AutorennameRolleArt des AutorsWerk?Status
William StraussHauptautoralle Ausgabenberechnet
Howe, NeilHauptautoralle Ausgabenbestätigt
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History. Politics. Sociology. Nonfiction. HTML:NATIONAL BESTSELLER ? First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis??the Fourth Turning??when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history.

William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world??and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America??s past will predict what comes next.
 
Strauss and Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four twenty-year eras??or ??turnings???that comprise history??s seasonal rhythm of growth, maturation, entropy, and rebirth. Illustrating this cycle through a brilliant analysis of the post??World War II period, The Fourth Turning offers bold predictions about how all of us can prepare, individually and collectively,

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