Nate Silver

Silver understands how statistic works, and so he uses this hammer for any nail.
It is not exactly the way but sometimes I had the feeling.
Another strange part for a reader from Germany are the details of the football league and the poker play.
Both not well known here in Germany.
But I learned a lot, how to have a reality check, what has to be done, if new information drops in. The Bayesian seems to be very efficient in prediction problems, even if it doesn't look that clear in the first glance.
Especially helpful was the chapter about market prediction, earth quakes and climate change. It gave me new insights, how people misunderstand signals and noise. And exactly this chapters, I wish, many more would read.… (mehr)