William A. Sherden

I'd actually give this book 2.5 stars, but we round up in my family. The premis of the book is given in the introduction: people who make predictions are frauds. Throughout the rest of the book the author sets out to prove this using seven fields where predictions are prevalent, and he is very convincing. My problem with the book was that it sometimes dragged, and my mind would wander. But for the most part it was pretty good.

Good examples and good suggestions about how to plan in order to avoid the unintended consequences. However, at this point I feel that discussion of the institutional barriers to such changes and the political actions needed to overcome them are an important part of the discussion.